Working Papers and Pre-Prints

Temporal Aggregation for the Synthetic Control Method
Liyang Sun, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller
arXiv

Using Multiple Outcomes to Improve the Synthetic Control Method
Liyang Sun, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller
arXiv

Bayesian Safe Policy Learning with Chance Constrained Optimization: Application to Military Security Assessment during the Vietnam War
Zeyang Jia, Eli Ben-Michael, Kosuke Imai
arXiv

Approximate Balancing Weights for Clustered Observational Study Designs
Eli Ben-Michael, Lindsay Page, and Luke Keele
arXiv

Estimating Racial Disparities in Emergency General Surgery
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, Rachel Kelz, and Luke Keele
arXiv

Safe Policy Learning under Regression Discontinuity Designs with Multiple Cutoffs
Yi Zhang, Eli Ben-Michael, Kosuke Imai
arXiv

The Balancing Act in Causal Inference
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, David Hirshberg, José Zubizarreta
arXiv

Safe Policy Learning through Extrapolation: Application to Pre-trial Risk Assessment
Eli Ben-Michael, D. James Greiner, Kosuke Imai, Zhichao Jiang
arXiv

Publications

Policy Learning with Asymmetric Counterfactual Utilities
Eli Ben-Michael, Kosuke Imai, Zhichao Jiang
Journal of the American Statistical Association 2024+ Journal Site arXiv

Text-Transport: Toward Learning Causal Effects of Natural Language
Victoria Lin, Louis-Philippe Morency, and Eli Ben-Michael
EMNLP 2023
arXiv

Using Balancing Weights to Target the Treatment Effect on the Treated when Overlap is Poor
Eli Ben-Michael, and Luke Keele
Epidemiology. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Multilevel Calibration Weighting for Survey Data
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Erin Hartman
Political Analysis. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Interpretable Sensitivity Analysis for Balancing Weights
Dan Soriano, Eli Ben-Michael, Peter Bickel, Avi Feller, and Sam Pimentel
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Varying Impacts of Letters of Recommendation on College Admissions:
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein
Annals of Applied Statistics. 2023
Journal Site NBER arXiv

Is It Who You Are or Where You Are? Accounting for Compositional Differences in Cross-Site Treatment Variation
Benjamin Lu, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Luke Miratrix
Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Estimating the effects of a California gun control program with Multitask Gaussian Processes
Eli Ben-Michael, David Arbour, Avi Feller, Alex Franks, and Steven Raphael
Annals of Applied Statistics. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Hospital Quality Risk Standardization via Approximate Balancing Weights
Luke Keele, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, Rachel Kelz, and Luke Miratrix
Annals of Applied Statistics. 2023
Journal Site arXiv

Problems with evidence assessment in COVID-19 health policy impact evaluation: A systematic review of study design and evidence strength
Noah Haber, Emma Clarke-Deelder, Avi Feller, Emily Smith, Joshua Salomon, Benjamin MacCormack-Gelles, Elizabeth Stone, Clara Bolster-Foucault, Jamie Daw, Laura Hatfield, Carrie Fry, Christopher Boyer, Eli Ben-Michael, Caroline Joyce, Beth Linas, Ian Schmid, Eric Au, Sarah Wieten, Brooke Jarrett, Cathrine Axfors, Van Thu Nguyen, Beth Ann Griffin, Alyssa Bilinski, Elizabeth Stuart
BMJ Open. 2022
Journal Site

Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B. 2022
Journal Site NBER arXiv

The Augmented Synthetic Control Method
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein
Journal of the American Statistical Association. 2021
Journal Site NBER arXiv

A trial emulation approach for policy evaluations with group-level longitudinal data
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Elizabeth Stuart
Epidemiology. 2021
Journal Site arXiv

Layoffs and the mental health and safety of remaining workers:
a difference-in-differences analysis of the US aluminium industry
Holly Elser, Eli Ben-Michael, David Rehkopf, Sepideh Modrek, Ellen A Eisen, Mark R Cullen.
Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 2019
Journal Site

Open Source Software

augsynth: R package for augmented synthetic controls and synthetic controls with staggered adoption
github

multical: R package for multilevel calibration
github