Working Papers and Pre-Prints

The Balancing Act in Causal Inference
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, David Hirshberg, José Zubizarreta

Safe Policy Learning through Extrapolation: Application to Pre-trial Risk Assessment
Eli Ben-Michael, D. James Greiner, Kosuke Imai, Zhichao Jiang

Using Multitask Gaussian Processes to Estimate the Effect of a Targeted Effort to Remove Firearms
David Arbour, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, Alex Franks, and Steven Raphael

Is It Who You Are or Where You Are? Accounting for Compositional Differences in Cross-Site Treatment Variation
Benjamin Lu, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Luke Miratrix

The Effect of a Targeted Effort to Remove Firearms from Prohibited Persons on State Murder Rates
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Steven Raphael
Working Paper

Interpretable Sensitivity Analysis for Balancing Weights
Dan Soriano, Eli Ben-Michael, Peter Bickel, Avi Feller, and Sam Pimentel

Multilevel Calibration Weighting for Survey Data
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Erin Hartman

Varying Impacts of Letters of Recommendation on College Admissions:
Approximate Balancing Weights for Subgroup Effects in Observational Studies
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein


Hospital Quality Risk Standardization via Approximate Balancing Weights
Luke Keele, Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, Rachel Kelz, and Luke Miratrix
Annals of Applied Statistics. 2022+

Problems with evidence assessment in COVID-19 health policy impact evaluation: A systematic review of study design and evidence strength
Noah Haber, Emma Clarke-Deelder, Avi Feller, Emily Smith, Joshua Salomon, Benjamin MacCormack-Gelles, Elizabeth Stone, Clara Bolster-Foucault, Jamie Daw, Laura Hatfield, Carrie Fry, Christopher Boyer, Eli Ben-Michael, Caroline Joyce, Beth Linas, Ian Schmid, Eric Au, Sarah Wieten, Brooke Jarrett, Cathrine Axfors, Van Thu Nguyen, Beth Ann Griffin, Alyssa Bilinski, Elizabeth Stuart
BMJ Open 2022
Journal Site

Synthetic Controls with Staggered Adoption
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B. 2022
Journal Site NBER arXiv

The Augmented Synthetic Control Method
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Jesse Rothstein
Journal of the American Statistical Association. 2021
Journal Site NBER arXiv

A trial emulation approach for policy evaluations with group-level longitudinal data
Eli Ben-Michael, Avi Feller, and Elizabeth Stuart
Epidemiology. 2021
Journal Site arXiv

Layoffs and the mental health and safety of remaining workers:
a difference-in-differences analysis of the US aluminium industry
Holly Elser, Eli Ben-Michael, David Rehkopf, Sepideh Modrek, Ellen A Eisen, Mark R Cullen.
Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health. 2019
Journal Site

Open Source Software

augsynth: R package for augmented synthetic controls and synthetic controls with staggered adoption

multical: R package for multilevel calibration